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dc.creatorHernández Bueno, Nelson Javier
dc.creatorPinto Calderón, María De Los ángeles
dc.creatorMuñoz Maldonado, Yecid Alfonso
dc.creatorOspino Castro, Adalberto Jose
dc.date.accessioned2018-11-17T13:48:49Z
dc.date.available2018-11-17T13:48:49Z
dc.date.issued2018
dc.identifier.issn2146-4553
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11323/1212
dc.description.abstractThe electricity price in Colombia responds to demographic, economic, climatic changes, among others, that generate uncertainty and therefore risks in the electric production. Considering that the decision-making process has a great importance in the electricity market and that the participation of generators in energy auctions is usually based on intuition and previous experience, the need to study the possible alternatives and methods that minimize the risks before deciding some important matter can be appreciate. In this article, the estimation of the behavior of electrical energy prices in Colombia at the year 2030 for different scenarios and there are propose the following scientific models: (1) Simple regression; (2) econometric model. As result are obtained forecasts for each model, identifying that the econometric model has the lowest margin of error compared to the historical data that considers the behavior of different variables for the forecastes_CO
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherInternational Journal of Energy Economics and Policyen_US
dc.rightsAtribución – No comercial – Compartir igualen_US
dc.subjectEconometric Modelingen_US
dc.subjectMethods of Statistical Simulationen_US
dc.subjectForecastingen_US
dc.subjectElectricity Priceen_US
dc.titleDetermination of models of simple regression and multivariate analysis for the forecast of the electricity price in Colombia at 2030en_US
dc.typearticleen_US


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