Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017
Incidencia global, regional y nacional, prevalencia y años vividos con discapacidad en 354 enfermedades y lesiones en 195 países y territorios, 1990-2017
Date
2018
2018
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Abstract
Background The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2017 (GBD 2017) includes a comprehensive assessment of incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) for 354 causes in 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2017. Previous GBD studies have shown how the decline of mortality rates from 1990 to 2016 has led to an increase in life expectancy, an ageing global population, and an expansion of the non-fatal burden of disease and injury. These studies have also shown how a substantial portion of the world’s population experiences non-fatal health loss with considerable heterogeneity among different causes, locations, ages, and sexes. Ongoing objectives of the GBD study include increasing the level of estimation detail, improving analytical strategies, and increasing the amount of high-quality data.
Referencias:
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1 Nino F. United Nations Sustainable Development Goals. UNDP. http://www.undp.org/content/undp/en/home/sustainabledevelopment-goals.html (accessed March 10, 2017). 2 Vos T, Abajobir AA, Abate KH, et al. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 328 diseases and injuries for 195 countries, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. Lancet 2017; 390: 1211–59. 3 Fullman N, Barber RM, Abajobir AA, et al. Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. Lancet 2017; 390: 1423–59. 4 Afshin A, Forouzanfar MH, Reitsma MB, et al. Health effects of overweight and obesity in 195 countries over 25 years. N Engl J Med 2017; 377: 13–27. 5 Sajedinejad S, Majdzadeh R, Vedadhir A, Tabatabaei MG, Mohammad K. Maternal mortality: a cross-sectional study in global health. 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Global estimates of human papillomavirus vaccination coverage by region and income level: a pooled analysis. Lancet Glob Health 2016; 4: e453–63. 12 Ginsburg OM, Love RR. Breast cancer: a neglected disease for the majority of affected women worldwide. Breast J 2011; 17: 289–95. 13 Denslow SA, Rositch AF, Firnhaber C, Ting J, Smith JS. Incidence and progression of cervical lesions in women with HIV: a systematic global review. Int J STD AIDS 2014; 25: 163–77. 14 Adler AJ, Ronsmans C, Calvert C, Filippi V. Estimating the prevalence of obstetric fistula: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Pregnancy Childbirth 2013; 13: 246. 15 Kelly J. Vesico-vaginal fistula. The burden of maternal ill-health. Safe Mother 1999; 5: 7. 16 Ahmed S, Tunçalp Ö. Burden of obstetric fistula: from measurement to action. Lancet Glob Health 2015; 3: e243–44 17 Wall LL. Obstetric fistula is a “neglected tropical disease”. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2012; 6: e1769. 18 Higashi H, Barendregt JJ, Kassebaum NJ, Weiser TG, Bickler SW, Vos T. Surgically avertable burden of obstetric conditions in low- and middle-income regions: a modelled analysis. BJOG Int J Obstet Gynaecol 2014; 122: 228–36. 19 GBD 2017 Mortality Collaborators. Global, regional, and national age-specific mortality and life expectancy, 1950–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Lancet 2018; 392: 1684–735. 20 Stevens GA, Alkema L, Black RE, et al. Guidelines for accurate and transparent health estimates reporting: the GATHER statement. Lancet 2016; 388: e19–23. 21 United Nations Population Division. Department of Economic and Social Affairs. Population. https://www.un.org/development/desa/ en/key-issues/population.html (accessed May 6, 2017). 22 US Census Bureau. International Data Base (IDB). https://www. census.gov/programs-surveys/international-programs/about/idb. html (accessed May 6, 2018). 23 Salomon JA, Haagsma JA, Davis A, et al. Disability weights for the Global Burden of Disease 2013 study. Lancet Glob Health 2015; 3: e712–23. 24 GBD 2017 Population and Fertility Collaborators. Population and fertility by age and sex for 195 countries and territories 1950–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease 2017. Lancet 2018; 392: 1995–2051. 25 GBD 2017 Cause of Death Collaborators. Global, regional, and national age-specific and sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Lancet 2018; 392: 1736–88. 26 Mckee S. Rethinking development and health: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study. Seattle, WA: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, 2016. 27 The Lancet. The global HIV/AIDS epidemic—progress and challenges. Lancet 2017; 390: 333. 28 Locarnini S, Hatzakis A, Chen D-S, Lok A. Strategies to control hepatitis B: Public policy, epidemiology, vaccine and drugs. J Hepatol 2015; 62: S76–86. 29 Razavi H, ElKhoury AC, Elbasha E, et al. Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) disease burden and cost in the United States. Hepatology 2012; 57: 2164–70. 30 Hill A, Cooke G. Hepatitis C can be cured globally, but at what cost? Science 2014; 345: 141–42. 31 Kamal-Yanni M. Hepatitis C drug affordability. Lancet Glob Health 2015; 3: e73–74. 32 Attard SM, Herring AH, Zhang B, Du S, Popkin BM, Gordon-larsen P. Associations between age, cohort, and urbanization with Sbp and Dbp in China: a population-based study across 18 years. J Hypertens 2015; 33: 948–56. 33 Song L, Shen L, Li H, et al. Height and prevalence of hypertension in a middle-aged and older Chinese population. Sci Rep 2016; 6: 39480. 34 Muntner P, Gu D, Wu X, et al. Factors associated with hypertension awareness, treatment, and control in a representative sample of the chinese population. Hypertension 2004; 43: 578–85. 35 Ford ES, Ajani UA, Croft JB, et al. Explaining the decrease in US deaths from coronary disease, 1980–2000. N Engl J Med 2007; 356: 2388–98. 36 Swinburn BA, Sacks G, Hall KD, et al. The global obesity pandemic: shaped by global drivers and local environments. Lancet 2011; 378: 804–14. 37 Smith SC, Benjamin EJ, Bonow RO, et al. AHA/ACCF secondary prevention and risk reduction therapy for patients with coronary and other atherosclerotic vascular disease: 2011 update: a guideline from the American Heart Association and American College of Cardiology Foundation. Circulation 2011; 124: 2458–73. 38 Eckel RH, Jakicic JM, Ard JD, et al. 2013 AHA/ACC guideline on lifestyle management to reduce cardiovascular risk: a report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines. Circulation 2014; 129: S76–99. 39 Stone NJ, Robinson JG, Lichtenstein AH, et al. 2013 ACC/AHA guideline on the treatment of blood cholesterol to reduce atherosclerotic cardiovascular risk in adults: a report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines. Circulation 2014; 129: S1–45. 40 Perk J, De Backer G, Gohlke H, et al. European Guidelines on cardiovascular disease prevention in clinical practice (version 2012). The Fifth Joint Task Force of the European Society of Cardiology and Other Societies on Cardiovascular Disease Prevention in Clinical Practice (constituted by representatives of nine societies and by invited experts). Eur Heart J 2012; 33: 1635–701. 41 Daya MR, Schmicker RH, Zive DM, et al. Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survival improving over time: results from the Resuscitation Outcomes Consortium (ROC). Resuscitation 2015; 91: 108. 42 Girotra S, Nallamothu BK, Spertus JA, Li Y, Krumholz HM, Chan PS. Trends in survival after in-hospital cardiac arrest. N Engl J Med 2012; 367: 1912. 43 Berger S. Survival from out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: are we beginning to see progress? J Am Heart Assoc 2017; 6: e007469. 44 American College of Cardiology. Despite overall in-hospital cardiac arrest survival improvement, lower survival on nights, weekends persists. https://www.acc.org/about-acc/press-releases/2018/01/22/ 14/16/despite-overall-in-hospital-cardiac-arrest-survivalimprovement-lower-survival-on-nights-weekends-persists (accessed May 7, 2018). 45 Malhotra A, Rakhit R. Improving the UK’s performance on survival after cardiac arrest. BMJ 2013; 347: f4800. 46 Sasson C, Rogers MAM, Dahl J, Kellermann AL. Predictors of survival from out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: a systematic review and meta-snalysis. Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes 2010; 3: 63–81. 47 Mora S, Wenger NK, DeMicco DA, et al. Determinants of residual risk in secondary prevention patients treated with high- versus low-dose statin therapy clinical perspective: the treating to new targets (TNT) study. Circulation 2012; 125: 1979–87. 48 Critchley JA, Capewell S. Mortality risk reduction associated with smoking cessation in patients with coronary heart disease: a systematic review. JAMA 2003; 290: 86. 49 Heaton RK, Grant I, McSweeny AJ, Adams KM, Petty TL. Psychologic effects of continuous and nocturnal oxygen therapy in hypoxemic chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Arch Intern Med 1983; 143: 1941–47. 50 Eaton T, Lewis C, Young P, Kennedy Y, Garrett JE, Kolbe J. Long-term oxygen therapy improves health-related quality of life. Respir Med 2004; 98: 285–93. 51 Clini E, Vitacca M, Foglio K, Simoni P, Ambrosino N. Long-term home care programmes may reduce hospital admissions in COPD with chronic hypercapnia. Eur Respir J 1996; 9: 1605–10. 52 Tanni SE, Vale SA, Lopes PS, Guiotoko MM, Godoy I, Godoy I. 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